Sunday 7 October 2018, 21:45
Mestalla
Full time
22%
23%
55%
Home win
22.3%
Draw
22.8%
Away win
54.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia | 22.3% | 4.49 | — | — |
| Draw | 22.8% | 4.39 | — | — |
| Barcelona | 54.9% | 1.82 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95.4% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.6% | 21.51 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 83.5% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 16.5% | 6.07 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 62.1% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 37.9% | 2.64 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 39.8% | 2.51 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 60.2% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 22.0% | 4.55 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 78.0% | 1.28 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 61.2% | 1.63 | — | — |
| No | 38.8% | 2.58 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia / Draw | 45.1% | 2.22 | — | — |
| Valencia / Barcelona | 77.2% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Draw / Barcelona | 77.7% | 1.29 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
4.7
|
7.5
|
8.1
|
5.4
|
2.7
|
1.1
|
| 1 |
4.3
|
10.4
|
9.8
|
6.5
|
3.2
|
1.3
|
| 2 |
3.0
|
5.9
|
5.9
|
3.9
|
2.0
|
0.8
|
| 3 |
1.2
|
2.4
|
2.4
|
1.6
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
| 4 |
0.4
|
0.7
|
0.7
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
Valencia
3-1
Barcelona
Sep 2025
Barcelona
6-0
Valencia
Jan 2025
Barcelona
7-1
Valencia
Aug 2024
Valencia
1-2
Barcelona
Apr 2024
Barcelona
4-2
Valencia
Dec 2023
Valencia
1-1
Barcelona
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.