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Saturday 5 October 2013, 20:30 Stadio Néas Smírnis Full time
51% 27% 21%
Home win
51.2%
Draw
27.4%
Away win
21.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panionios 51.2% 1.95
Draw 27.4% 3.66
Aris Thessalonikis 21.4% 4.66

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 90.3% 1.11
Under 0.5 9.7% 10.36
Over 1.5 70.2% 1.42
Under 1.5 29.8% 3.36
Over 2.5 43.5% 2.30
Under 2.5 56.6% 1.77
Over 3.5 22.5% 4.45
Under 3.5 77.5% 1.29
Over 4.5 9.8% 10.21
Under 4.5 90.2% 1.11

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 46.9% 2.13
No 53.1% 1.88

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panionios / Draw 78.6% 1.27
Panionios / Aris Thessalonikis 72.6% 1.38
Draw / Aris Thessalonikis 48.8% 2.05

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
9.7
7.3
3.6
1.1
0.2
0.0
1
12.8
12.9
5.4
1.6
0.4
0.1
2
10.3
9.2
4.1
1.2
0.3
0.0
3
5.2
4.7
2.1
0.6
0.1
0.0
4
2.0
1.8
0.8
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.6
0.5
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Panionios goals. Columns: Aris Thessalonikis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.