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Sunday 6 January 2013, 15:00 Stadio Harilaou Kleánthis Vikelídis Full time
43% 30% 27%
Home win
42.9%
Draw
30.2%
Away win
26.9%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Aris Thessalonikis 42.9% 2.33
Draw 30.2% 3.31
Panionios 26.9% 3.72

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 88.1% 1.14
Under 0.5 11.9% 8.40
Over 1.5 65.3% 1.53
Under 1.5 34.7% 2.88
Over 2.5 37.6% 2.66
Under 2.5 62.4% 1.60
Over 3.5 18.0% 5.55
Under 3.5 82.0% 1.22
Over 4.5 7.2% 13.85
Under 4.5 92.8% 1.08

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 44.4% 2.25
No 55.6% 1.80

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Aris Thessalonikis / Draw 73.1% 1.37
Aris Thessalonikis / Panionios 69.8% 1.43
Draw / Panionios 57.1% 1.75

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
11.9
9.7
4.9
1.5
0.4
0.1
1
13.2
13.9
6.2
1.9
0.5
0.1
2
8.8
8.3
3.9
1.2
0.3
0.1
3
3.7
3.5
1.6
0.5
0.1
0.0
4
1.2
1.1
0.5
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
0.3
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Aris Thessalonikis goals. Columns: Panionios goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.