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Saturday 6 October 2018, 18:15 Nea Smyrni Stadium Full time
Panionios
1–0
HT 1–0
Aris Thessalonikis
27% 36% 37%
Home win
27.5%
Draw
35.5%
Away win
37.0%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panionios 27.5% 3.64 — —
Draw 35.5% 2.82 — —
Aris Thessalonikis 37.0% 2.70 — —

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 80.8% 1.24 — —
Under 0.5 19.2% 5.21 — —
Over 1.5 51.2% 1.95 — —
Under 1.5 48.8% 2.05 — —
Over 2.5 24.1% 4.15 — —
Under 2.5 75.9% 1.32 — —
Over 3.5 9.2% 10.86 — —
Under 3.5 90.8% 1.10 — —
Over 4.5 2.9% 34.31 — —
Under 4.5 97.1% 1.03 — —

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 33.1% 3.02 — —
No 66.9% 1.49 — —

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panionios / Draw 63.0% 1.59 — —
Panionios / Aris Thessalonikis 64.5% 1.55 — —
Draw / Aris Thessalonikis 72.5% 1.38 — —

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
19.2
16.4
8.0
2.5
0.6
0.1
1
13.2
13.8
6.1
1.9
0.4
0.1
2
5.3
5.0
2.3
0.7
0.2
0.0
3
1.4
1.3
0.6
0.2
0.0
0.0
4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Panionios goals. Columns: Aris Thessalonikis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Panionios
D L L L W
Aris Thessalonikis
W W W L W

Head to head

Feb 2020 Aris Thessalonikis 2-0 Panionios Nov 2019 Panionios 1-1 Aris Thessalonikis Feb 2019 Aris Thessalonikis 1-1 Panionios Feb 2014 Aris Thessalonikis 1-0 Panionios Oct 2013 Panionios 1-2 Aris Thessalonikis Jan 2013 Aris Thessalonikis 2-1 Panionios

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.