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Sunday 2 September 2018, 19:15 Nea Smyrni Stadium Full time
0–1
HT 0–0
26% 32% 42%
Home win
25.6%
Draw
32.3%
Away win
42.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panionios 25.6% 3.91
Draw 32.3% 3.09
PAOK 42.1% 2.38

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 85.0% 1.18
Under 0.5 15.0% 6.68
Over 1.5 58.9% 1.70
Under 1.5 41.1% 2.43
Over 2.5 31.1% 3.22
Under 2.5 68.9% 1.45
Over 3.5 13.5% 7.43
Under 3.5 86.5% 1.16
Over 4.5 4.9% 20.59
Under 4.5 95.1% 1.05

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 38.7% 2.58
No 61.3% 1.63

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panionios / Draw 57.9% 1.73
Panionios / PAOK 67.7% 1.48
Draw / PAOK 74.4% 1.34

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
15.0
15.3
9.1
3.4
1.0
0.2
1
10.8
14.0
7.5
2.8
0.8
0.2
2
4.8
5.4
3.1
1.2
0.3
0.1
3
1.3
1.5
0.8
0.3
0.1
0.0
4
0.3
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.0
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Panionios goals. Columns: PAOK goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.