Sunday 22 April 2018, 19:00
Stadio Néas Smírnis (Athína (Athens))
Full time
35%
34%
31%
Home win
34.9%
Draw
34.2%
Away win
30.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Panionios | 34.9% | 2.86 | — | — |
| Draw | 34.2% | 2.92 | — | — |
| Panathinaikos | 30.9% | 3.24 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 83.0% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 17.0% | 5.89 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 55.2% | 1.81 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 44.8% | 2.23 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 27.5% | 3.63 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 72.5% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 11.2% | 8.91 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 88.8% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 3.8% | 26.31 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 96.2% | 1.04 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 36.5% | 2.74 | — | — |
| No | 63.5% | 1.57 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Panionios / Draw | 69.1% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Panionios / Panathinaikos | 65.8% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Draw / Panathinaikos | 65.1% | 1.54 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
17.0
|
13.3
|
6.2
|
1.8
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
14.5
|
14.2
|
5.9
|
1.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
7.3
|
6.4
|
2.8
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
2.3
|
2.0
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.5
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2020
Panathinaikos
3-0
Panionios
Sep 2019
Panionios
0-1
Panathinaikos
Feb 2019
Panionios
2-0
Panathinaikos
Oct 2018
Panathinaikos
1-0
Panionios
Dec 2017
Panathinaikos
0-1
Panionios
May 2017
Panathinaikos
1-0
Panionios
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.