Skip to content
Sunday 4 March 2018, 17:15 Olympiako Stadio Spyros Louis (Athína (Athens)) Full time
62% 26% 12%
Home win
62.3%
Draw
26.2%
Away win
11.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC 62.3% 1.61
Draw 26.2% 3.81
Panionios 11.5% 8.68

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 86.8% 1.15
Under 0.5 13.2% 7.55
Over 1.5 61.8% 1.62
Under 1.5 38.2% 2.62
Over 2.5 34.2% 2.92
Under 2.5 65.8% 1.52
Over 3.5 15.6% 6.43
Under 3.5 84.4% 1.18
Over 4.5 5.9% 16.92
Under 4.5 94.1% 1.06

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 32.4% 3.08
No 67.6% 1.48

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC / Draw 88.5% 1.13
AEK Athens FC / Panionios 73.8% 1.36
Draw / Panionios 37.7% 2.65

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
13.2
5.9
1.7
0.3
0.0
0.0
1
19.0
10.8
2.6
0.5
0.1
0.0
2
15.2
7.9
2.0
0.4
0.0
0.0
3
7.9
4.1
1.1
0.2
0.0
0.0
4
3.1
1.6
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.9
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: AEK Athens FC goals. Columns: Panionios goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.