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Saturday 10 February 2018, 17:15 Stadio Néas Smírnis (Athína (Athens)) Full time
1–0
HT 0–0
57% 29% 14%
Home win
56.8%
Draw
29.5%
Away win
13.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panionios 56.8% 1.76
Draw 29.5% 3.40
Lamia 13.7% 7.28

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 84.2% 1.19
Under 0.5 15.8% 6.32
Over 1.5 56.9% 1.76
Under 1.5 43.1% 2.32
Over 2.5 29.2% 3.42
Under 2.5 70.8% 1.41
Over 3.5 12.3% 8.14
Under 3.5 87.7% 1.14
Over 4.5 4.3% 23.30
Under 4.5 95.7% 1.04

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 31.1% 3.22
No 68.9% 1.45

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panionios / Draw 86.3% 1.16
Panionios / Lamia 70.5% 1.42
Draw / Lamia 43.2% 2.32

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
15.8
7.3
2.1
0.4
0.0
0.0
1
20.0
11.5
2.9
0.5
0.1
0.0
2
14.0
7.4
1.9
0.3
0.0
0.0
3
6.3
3.3
0.9
0.2
0.0
0.0
4
2.2
1.1
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.6
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Panionios goals. Columns: Lamia goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.