Saturday 3 February 2018, 17:15
AEL Arena (Larissa)
Full time
29%
33%
39%
Home win
28.7%
Draw
32.7%
Away win
38.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Larisa | 28.7% | 3.48 | — | — |
| Draw | 32.7% | 3.06 | — | — |
| Panionios | 38.6% | 2.59 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 85.0% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 15.0% | 6.67 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 58.9% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 41.1% | 2.43 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 31.1% | 3.22 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 68.9% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 13.4% | 7.44 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 86.6% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 4.9% | 20.61 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 95.1% | 1.05 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 39.3% | 2.54 | — | — |
| No | 60.7% | 1.65 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Larisa / Draw | 61.4% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Larisa / Panionios | 67.3% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Draw / Panionios | 71.3% | 1.40 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
15.0
|
14.4
|
8.1
|
2.9
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 1 |
11.7
|
14.2
|
7.2
|
2.6
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
5.5
|
5.9
|
3.2
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
1.6
|
1.7
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.4
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jul 2020
Larisa
0-0
Panionios
Dec 2019
Larisa
2-0
Panionios
Sep 2019
Panionios
1-0
Larisa
Apr 2019
Panionios
1-0
Larisa
Dec 2018
Larisa
4-2
Panionios
Sep 2017
Panionios
4-1
Larisa
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.