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Sunday 24 September 2017, 18:15 Nea Smyrni Stadium Full time
4–1
HT 1–0
65% 25% 10%
Home win
64.5%
Draw
25.1%
Away win
10.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panionios 64.5% 1.55
Draw 25.1% 3.98
Larisa 10.3% 9.68

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 87.2% 1.15
Under 0.5 12.8% 7.79
Over 1.5 62.6% 1.60
Under 1.5 37.4% 2.67
Over 2.5 35.0% 2.85
Under 2.5 65.0% 1.54
Over 3.5 16.1% 6.20
Under 3.5 83.9% 1.19
Over 4.5 6.2% 16.11
Under 4.5 93.8% 1.07

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 31.5% 3.17
No 68.5% 1.46

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panionios / Draw 89.7% 1.12
Panionios / Larisa 74.9% 1.34
Draw / Larisa 35.5% 2.82

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
12.8
5.4
1.5
0.2
0.0
0.0
1
19.1
10.2
2.4
0.4
0.0
0.0
2
15.9
7.8
1.9
0.3
0.0
0.0
3
8.5
4.2
1.0
0.2
0.0
0.0
4
3.4
1.7
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
1.1
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Panionios goals. Columns: Larisa goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.