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Monday 28 August 2017, 21:30 AEL FC Arena Full time
39% 30% 31%
Home win
38.7%
Draw
30.2%
Away win
31.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Larisa 38.7% 2.59
Draw 30.2% 3.32
Asteras Tripolis 31.2% 3.21

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 88.8% 1.13
Under 0.5 11.2% 8.91
Over 1.5 66.8% 1.50
Under 1.5 33.2% 3.01
Over 2.5 39.3% 2.54
Under 2.5 60.7% 1.65
Over 3.5 19.3% 5.19
Under 3.5 80.7% 1.24
Over 4.5 7.9% 12.63
Under 4.5 92.1% 1.09

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 46.5% 2.15
No 53.6% 1.87

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Larisa / Draw 68.8% 1.45
Larisa / Asteras Tripolis 69.8% 1.43
Draw / Asteras Tripolis 61.3% 1.63

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
11.2
10.2
5.8
2.0
0.5
0.1
1
11.8
14.1
7.0
2.5
0.6
0.1
2
7.6
8.0
4.2
1.5
0.4
0.1
3
3.0
3.2
1.7
0.6
0.2
0.0
4
0.9
1.0
0.5
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Larisa goals. Columns: Asteras Tripolis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.