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Sunday 23 April 2017, 19:00 AEL FC Arena Full time
1–0
HT 1–0
33% 33% 35%
Home win
32.5%
Draw
32.7%
Away win
34.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Larisa 32.5% 3.07
Draw 32.7% 3.05
Xanthi FC 34.7% 2.88

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 85.2% 1.17
Under 0.5 14.8% 6.78
Over 1.5 59.4% 1.68
Under 1.5 40.6% 2.46
Over 2.5 31.5% 3.17
Under 2.5 68.5% 1.46
Over 3.5 13.8% 7.27
Under 3.5 86.2% 1.16
Over 4.5 5.0% 20.00
Under 4.5 95.0% 1.05

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 40.1% 2.50
No 59.9% 1.67

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Larisa / Draw 65.3% 1.53
Larisa / Xanthi FC 67.3% 1.49
Draw / Xanthi FC 67.5% 1.48

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
14.8
13.2
7.1
2.4
0.6
0.1
1
12.6
14.3
6.8
2.3
0.6
0.1
2
6.5
6.5
3.3
1.1
0.3
0.1
3
2.1
2.1
1.1
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
0.5
0.5
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Larisa goals. Columns: Xanthi FC goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.