Skip to content
Saturday 11 March 2017, 17:15 Nea Smyrni Stadium Full time
1–0
HT 1–0
63% 25% 12%
Home win
63.3%
Draw
24.7%
Away win
12.0%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panionios 63.3% 1.58
Draw 24.7% 4.06
Larisa 12.0% 8.33

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 89.0% 1.12
Under 0.5 11.0% 9.10
Over 1.5 66.7% 1.50
Under 1.5 33.3% 3.01
Over 2.5 39.5% 2.53
Under 2.5 60.5% 1.65
Over 3.5 19.4% 5.16
Under 3.5 80.6% 1.24
Over 4.5 8.0% 12.54
Under 4.5 92.0% 1.09

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 36.8% 2.72
No 63.2% 1.58

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panionios / Draw 88.0% 1.14
Panionios / Larisa 75.3% 1.33
Draw / Larisa 36.7% 2.73

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
11.0
5.5
1.8
0.4
0.1
0.0
1
16.8
10.8
3.0
0.6
0.1
0.0
2
14.6
8.6
2.5
0.5
0.1
0.0
3
8.2
4.8
1.4
0.3
0.0
0.0
4
3.4
2.0
0.6
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
1.2
0.7
0.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Panionios goals. Columns: Larisa goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.