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Saturday 4 March 2017, 15:00 AEL FC Arena Full time
36% 30% 34%
Home win
35.9%
Draw
30.3%
Away win
33.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Larisa 35.9% 2.78
Draw 30.3% 3.30
PAS Giannina 33.8% 2.96

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 88.7% 1.13
Under 0.5 11.3% 8.84
Over 1.5 66.6% 1.50
Under 1.5 33.4% 2.99
Over 2.5 39.1% 2.55
Under 2.5 60.9% 1.64
Over 3.5 19.1% 5.23
Under 3.5 80.9% 1.24
Over 4.5 7.8% 12.77
Under 4.5 92.2% 1.08

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 46.5% 2.15
No 53.5% 1.87

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Larisa / Draw 66.2% 1.51
Larisa / PAS Giannina 69.7% 1.43
Draw / PAS Giannina 64.1% 1.56

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
11.3
10.8
6.4
2.4
0.7
0.1
1
11.3
14.1
7.4
2.7
0.7
0.2
2
6.9
7.7
4.2
1.6
0.4
0.1
3
2.7
2.9
1.6
0.6
0.2
0.0
4
0.8
0.8
0.5
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Larisa goals. Columns: PAS Giannina goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.