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Sunday 26 February 2017, 15:00 Spiros Louis Olympic Stadium Full time
73% 19% 8%
Home win
72.6%
Draw
19.1%
Away win
8.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC 72.6% 1.38
Draw 19.1% 5.22
Larisa 8.2% 12.17

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.4% 1.08
Under 0.5 7.6% 13.14
Over 1.5 74.6% 1.34
Under 1.5 25.4% 3.93
Over 2.5 49.2% 2.03
Under 2.5 50.8% 1.97
Over 3.5 27.3% 3.66
Under 3.5 72.7% 1.38
Over 4.5 12.9% 7.77
Under 4.5 87.1% 1.15

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 38.0% 2.63
No 62.0% 1.61

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC / Draw 91.8% 1.09
AEK Athens FC / Larisa 80.9% 1.24
Draw / Larisa 27.4% 3.65

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.6
3.5
1.1
0.2
0.0
0.0
1
14.3
8.8
2.3
0.4
0.1
0.0
2
15.5
8.6
2.4
0.4
0.1
0.0
3
10.7
6.0
1.7
0.3
0.0
0.0
4
5.6
3.1
0.9
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
2.3
1.3
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: AEK Athens FC goals. Columns: Larisa goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.