Sunday 22 January 2017, 15:00
Spiros Louis Olympic Stadium
Full time
57%
27%
16%
Home win
57.3%
Draw
26.7%
Away win
15.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AEK Athens FC | 57.3% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Draw | 26.7% | 3.74 | — | — |
| Asteras Tripolis | 15.9% | 6.27 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88.8% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 11.2% | 8.97 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 66.6% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 33.4% | 2.99 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 39.2% | 2.55 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 60.8% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 19.2% | 5.21 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 80.8% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 7.9% | 12.70 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 92.1% | 1.09 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 40.4% | 2.48 | — | — |
| No | 59.6% | 1.68 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AEK Athens FC / Draw | 84.1% | 1.19 | — | — |
| AEK Athens FC / Asteras Tripolis | 73.3% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Draw / Asteras Tripolis | 42.7% | 2.34 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
11.2
|
6.6
|
2.6
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
15.6
|
12.1
|
4.0
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
12.7
|
8.9
|
3.1
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
6.6
|
4.6
|
1.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
2.6
|
1.8
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.8
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2026
Asteras Tripolis
0-1
AEK Athens FC
Aug 2025
AEK Athens FC
1-0
Asteras Tripolis
Feb 2025
Asteras Tripolis
0-3
AEK Athens FC
Nov 2024
AEK Athens FC
3-0
Asteras Tripolis
Feb 2024
AEK Athens FC
4-2
Asteras Tripolis
Oct 2023
Asteras Tripolis
0-3
AEK Athens FC
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.