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Saturday 7 January 2017, 19:30 Theodoros Kolokotronis Stadium Full time
32% 33% 35%
Home win
31.8%
Draw
33.0%
Away win
35.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Asteras Tripolis 31.8% 3.14
Draw 33.0% 3.03
AEK Athens FC 35.2% 2.84

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 84.9% 1.18
Under 0.5 15.1% 6.60
Over 1.5 58.6% 1.71
Under 1.5 41.4% 2.42
Over 2.5 30.8% 3.25
Under 2.5 69.2% 1.44
Over 3.5 13.3% 7.54
Under 3.5 86.7% 1.15
Over 4.5 4.8% 21.00
Under 4.5 95.2% 1.05

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 39.4% 2.54
No 60.6% 1.65

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Asteras Tripolis / Draw 64.8% 1.54
Asteras Tripolis / AEK Athens FC 67.0% 1.49
Draw / AEK Athens FC 68.2% 1.47

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
15.1
13.6
7.2
2.4
0.6
0.1
1
12.7
14.3
6.8
2.3
0.6
0.1
2
6.3
6.3
3.2
1.1
0.3
0.1
3
2.0
2.0
1.0
0.3
0.1
0.0
4
0.5
0.5
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Asteras Tripolis goals. Columns: AEK Athens FC goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.