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Monday 19 December 2016, 19:30 Spiros Louis Olympic Stadium Full time
63% 24% 13%
Home win
62.9%
Draw
24.1%
Away win
13.0%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC 62.9% 1.59
Draw 24.1% 4.15
PAS Giannina 13.0% 7.68

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 90.3% 1.11
Under 0.5 9.7% 10.36
Over 1.5 69.9% 1.43
Under 1.5 30.1% 3.32
Over 2.5 43.2% 2.32
Under 2.5 56.8% 1.76
Over 3.5 22.2% 4.50
Under 3.5 77.8% 1.29
Over 4.5 9.6% 10.36
Under 4.5 90.4% 1.11

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 40.5% 2.47
No 59.5% 1.68

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC / Draw 87.0% 1.15
AEK Athens FC / PAS Giannina 75.9% 1.32
Draw / PAS Giannina 37.1% 2.70

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
9.7
5.3
2.0
0.4
0.1
0.0
1
15.1
11.0
3.4
0.8
0.1
0.0
2
13.7
9.1
3.0
0.7
0.1
0.0
3
8.0
5.3
1.7
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
3.5
2.3
0.8
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
1.2
0.8
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: AEK Athens FC goals. Columns: PAS Giannina goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.