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Sunday 30 October 2016, 19:30 Toumba Stadium Full time
1–0
HT 0–0
43% 31% 26%
Home win
43.2%
Draw
30.7%
Away win
26.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAOK 43.2% 2.31
Draw 30.7% 3.26
AEK Athens FC 26.1% 3.83

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 87.3% 1.14
Under 0.5 12.7% 7.90
Over 1.5 63.6% 1.57
Under 1.5 36.4% 2.75
Over 2.5 35.9% 2.79
Under 2.5 64.1% 1.56
Over 3.5 16.7% 5.98
Under 3.5 83.3% 1.20
Over 4.5 6.5% 15.33
Under 4.5 93.5% 1.07

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 42.8% 2.34
No 57.2% 1.75

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAOK / Draw 73.9% 1.35
PAOK / AEK Athens FC 69.3% 1.44
Draw / AEK Athens FC 56.8% 1.76

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
12.7
9.9
4.8
1.4
0.3
0.1
1
13.9
13.9
5.9
1.8
0.4
0.1
2
9.0
8.1
3.6
1.1
0.2
0.0
3
3.7
3.3
1.5
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
1.1
1.0
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.3
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: PAOK goals. Columns: AEK Athens FC goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.