Skip to content
Saturday 22 October 2016, 20:30 Spiros Louis Olympic Stadium Full time
59% 27% 14%
Home win
59.3%
Draw
26.7%
Away win
14.0%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC 59.3% 1.69
Draw 26.7% 3.74
Panionios 14.0% 7.16

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 87.8% 1.14
Under 0.5 12.2% 8.17
Over 1.5 64.1% 1.56
Under 1.5 35.9% 2.79
Over 2.5 36.5% 2.74
Under 2.5 63.5% 1.58
Over 3.5 17.2% 5.81
Under 3.5 82.8% 1.21
Over 4.5 6.8% 14.74
Under 4.5 93.2% 1.07

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 36.7% 2.73
No 63.3% 1.58

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC / Draw 86.0% 1.16
AEK Athens FC / Panionios 73.3% 1.36
Draw / Panionios 40.7% 2.46

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
12.2
6.4
2.2
0.4
0.1
0.0
1
17.2
11.6
3.4
0.7
0.1
0.0
2
13.8
8.4
2.6
0.5
0.1
0.0
3
7.1
4.3
1.3
0.3
0.0
0.0
4
2.7
1.7
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.8
0.5
0.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: AEK Athens FC goals. Columns: Panionios goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.