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Saturday 17 September 2016, 20:00 Veria Stadium Full time
22% 30% 48%
Home win
22.3%
Draw
30.1%
Away win
47.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Veria 22.3% 4.48
Draw 30.1% 3.33
AEK Athens FC 47.6% 2.10

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 87.2% 1.15
Under 0.5 12.8% 7.84
Over 1.5 63.3% 1.58
Under 1.5 36.7% 2.73
Over 2.5 35.6% 2.81
Under 2.5 64.4% 1.55
Over 3.5 16.5% 6.05
Under 3.5 83.5% 1.20
Over 4.5 6.4% 15.57
Under 4.5 93.6% 1.07

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 41.3% 2.42
No 58.7% 1.70

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Veria / Draw 52.4% 1.91
Veria / AEK Athens FC 69.9% 1.43
Draw / AEK Athens FC 77.7% 1.29

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
12.8
15.0
10.3
4.5
1.5
0.4
1
8.9
13.5
8.3
3.6
1.2
0.3
2
3.9
5.2
3.4
1.5
0.5
0.1
3
1.1
1.4
0.9
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
0.2
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Veria goals. Columns: AEK Athens FC goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.