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Thursday 26 May 2016, 20:30 Olympiako Stadio Spyros Louis Full time
42% 31% 27%
Home win
41.8%
Draw
31.2%
Away win
27.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC 41.8% 2.39
Draw 31.2% 3.21
Panathinaikos 27.1% 3.70

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 86.9% 1.15
Under 0.5 13.1% 7.63
Over 1.5 62.7% 1.60
Under 1.5 37.3% 2.68
Over 2.5 34.9% 2.87
Under 2.5 65.1% 1.54
Over 3.5 16.0% 6.24
Under 3.5 84.0% 1.19
Over 4.5 6.2% 16.25
Under 4.5 93.8% 1.07

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 42.2% 2.37
No 57.8% 1.73

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC / Draw 72.9% 1.37
AEK Athens FC / Panathinaikos 68.8% 1.45
Draw / Panathinaikos 58.2% 1.72

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
13.1
10.3
5.0
1.5
0.3
0.1
1
13.9
14.0
6.0
1.8
0.4
0.1
2
8.7
7.9
3.6
1.1
0.2
0.0
3
3.5
3.1
1.4
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
1.0
0.9
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: AEK Athens FC goals. Columns: Panathinaikos goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.