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Sunday 10 April 2016, 19:00 Olympiako Stadio Spyros Louis Full time
60% 26% 14%
Home win
59.9%
Draw
26.4%
Away win
13.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC 59.9% 1.67
Draw 26.4% 3.79
Panionios 13.7% 7.30

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 88.0% 1.14
Under 0.5 12.0% 8.34
Over 1.5 64.6% 1.55
Under 1.5 35.4% 2.83
Over 2.5 37.1% 2.69
Under 2.5 62.9% 1.59
Over 3.5 17.6% 5.68
Under 3.5 82.4% 1.21
Over 4.5 7.0% 14.27
Under 4.5 93.0% 1.08

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 36.9% 2.71
No 63.1% 1.58

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC / Draw 86.3% 1.16
AEK Athens FC / Panionios 73.6% 1.36
Draw / Panionios 40.1% 2.49

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
12.0
6.3
2.1
0.4
0.1
0.0
1
17.1
11.5
3.3
0.7
0.1
0.0
2
13.9
8.5
2.6
0.5
0.1
0.0
3
7.2
4.4
1.4
0.3
0.0
0.0
4
2.8
1.7
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.9
0.5
0.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: AEK Athens FC goals. Columns: Panionios goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.