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Monday 7 March 2016, 19:30 Stadio Theodoros Kolokotronis Full time
35% 32% 33%
Home win
35.1%
Draw
32.1%
Away win
32.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Asteras Tripolis 35.1% 2.85
Draw 32.1% 3.11
AEK Athens FC 32.8% 3.05

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 86.1% 1.16
Under 0.5 13.9% 7.20
Over 1.5 61.1% 1.64
Under 1.5 38.9% 2.57
Over 2.5 33.3% 3.01
Under 2.5 66.7% 1.50
Over 3.5 14.9% 6.70
Under 3.5 85.1% 1.18
Over 4.5 5.6% 17.91
Under 4.5 94.4% 1.06

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 41.6% 2.41
No 58.4% 1.71

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Asteras Tripolis / Draw 67.2% 1.49
Asteras Tripolis / AEK Athens FC 67.9% 1.47
Draw / AEK Athens FC 64.9% 1.54

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
13.9
12.2
6.5
2.1
0.5
0.1
1
12.8
14.3
6.7
2.2
0.6
0.1
2
7.1
7.0
3.5
1.2
0.3
0.1
3
2.4
2.4
1.2
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
0.6
0.6
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Asteras Tripolis goals. Columns: AEK Athens FC goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.