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Sunday 7 February 2016, 17:15 Stadio Peristeriou Full time
37% 33% 30%
Home win
36.6%
Draw
33.5%
Away win
29.9%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Atromitos 36.6% 2.73
Draw 33.5% 2.99
AEK Athens FC 29.9% 3.35

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 84.0% 1.19
Under 0.5 16.0% 6.27
Over 1.5 57.1% 1.75
Under 1.5 42.9% 2.33
Over 2.5 29.3% 3.42
Under 2.5 70.7% 1.41
Over 3.5 12.3% 8.13
Under 3.5 87.7% 1.14
Over 4.5 4.3% 23.24
Under 4.5 95.7% 1.04

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 38.0% 2.64
No 62.1% 1.61

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Atromitos / Draw 70.1% 1.43
Atromitos / AEK Athens FC 66.5% 1.50
Draw / AEK Athens FC 63.4% 1.58

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
16.0
12.5
5.9
1.7
0.4
0.1
1
14.4
14.2
5.9
1.7
0.4
0.1
2
7.7
6.8
3.0
0.9
0.2
0.0
3
2.6
2.3
1.0
0.3
0.1
0.0
4
0.6
0.6
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Atromitos goals. Columns: AEK Athens FC goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.