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Saturday 30 January 2016, 19:30 Stadio Toumbas Full time
1–1
HT 1–0
50% 29% 21%
Home win
50.1%
Draw
28.7%
Away win
21.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAOK 50.1% 2.00
Draw 28.7% 3.48
Atromitos 21.1% 4.73

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 88.5% 1.13
Under 0.5 11.5% 8.72
Over 1.5 66.1% 1.51
Under 1.5 33.9% 2.95
Over 2.5 38.6% 2.59
Under 2.5 61.4% 1.63
Over 3.5 18.7% 5.34
Under 3.5 81.3% 1.23
Over 4.5 7.6% 13.13
Under 4.5 92.4% 1.08

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 43.1% 2.32
No 56.9% 1.76

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAOK / Draw 78.9% 1.27
PAOK / Atromitos 71.3% 1.40
Draw / Atromitos 49.9% 2.00

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
11.5
8.1
3.6
1.0
0.2
0.0
1
14.4
13.2
5.1
1.4
0.3
0.0
2
10.7
8.8
3.6
1.0
0.2
0.0
3
5.0
4.1
1.7
0.5
0.1
0.0
4
1.8
1.5
0.6
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
0.5
0.4
0.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: PAOK goals. Columns: Atromitos goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.