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Wednesday 20 January 2016, 19:30 SKODA Xanthi Arena Full time
1–1
HT 0–1
37% 28% 35%
Home win
37.2%
Draw
28.0%
Away win
34.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Xanthi FC 37.2% 2.68
Draw 28.0% 3.57
PAOK 34.8% 2.88

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 91.7% 1.09
Under 0.5 8.3% 12.03
Over 1.5 73.7% 1.36
Under 1.5 26.3% 3.80
Over 2.5 47.7% 2.10
Under 2.5 52.3% 1.91
Over 3.5 26.0% 3.84
Under 3.5 74.0% 1.35
Over 4.5 12.0% 8.32
Under 4.5 88.0% 1.14

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 53.3% 1.88
No 46.7% 2.14

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Xanthi FC / Draw 65.2% 1.53
Xanthi FC / PAOK 72.0% 1.39
Draw / PAOK 62.8% 1.59

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
8.3
8.8
6.0
2.5
0.8
0.2
1
9.2
13.4
8.0
3.4
1.1
0.3
2
6.6
8.3
5.2
2.2
0.7
0.2
3
2.9
3.6
2.3
1.0
0.3
0.1
4
1.0
1.2
0.8
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
0.3
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Xanthi FC goals. Columns: PAOK goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.