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Saturday 9 January 2016, 19:30 Olympiako Stadio Spyros Louis Full time
60% 25% 15%
Home win
60.0%
Draw
24.8%
Away win
15.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC 60.0% 1.67
Draw 24.8% 4.03
Xanthi FC 15.2% 6.58

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 90.7% 1.10
Under 0.5 9.3% 10.79
Over 1.5 70.9% 1.41
Under 1.5 29.1% 3.44
Over 2.5 44.4% 2.25
Under 2.5 55.6% 1.80
Over 3.5 23.2% 4.31
Under 3.5 76.8% 1.30
Over 4.5 10.2% 9.76
Under 4.5 89.8% 1.11

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 43.5% 2.30
No 56.5% 1.77

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC / Draw 84.8% 1.18
AEK Athens FC / Xanthi FC 75.2% 1.33
Draw / Xanthi FC 40.0% 2.50

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
9.3
5.7
2.4
0.6
0.1
0.0
1
14.1
11.6
4.0
1.0
0.2
0.0
2
12.6
9.3
3.5
0.9
0.2
0.0
3
7.2
5.3
2.0
0.5
0.1
0.0
4
3.1
2.3
0.8
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
1.1
0.8
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: AEK Athens FC goals. Columns: Xanthi FC goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.