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Sunday 2 December 2018, 19:30 Spiros Louis Olympic Stadium Full time
64% 26% 10%
Home win
63.9%
Draw
26.3%
Away win
9.9%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC 63.9% 1.57
Draw 26.3% 3.81
Xanthi FC 9.9% 10.13

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 85.4% 1.17
Under 0.5 14.6% 6.85
Over 1.5 59.0% 1.70
Under 1.5 41.0% 2.44
Over 2.5 31.4% 3.19
Under 2.5 68.6% 1.46
Over 3.5 13.6% 7.33
Under 3.5 86.4% 1.16
Over 4.5 4.9% 20.22
Under 4.5 95.1% 1.05

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 28.4% 3.52
No 71.6% 1.40

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC / Draw 90.1% 1.11
AEK Athens FC / Xanthi FC 73.7% 1.36
Draw / Xanthi FC 36.1% 2.77

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
14.6
5.6
1.4
0.2
0.0
0.0
1
20.8
10.0
2.1
0.3
0.0
0.0
2
16.3
7.2
1.6
0.2
0.0
0.0
3
8.3
3.6
0.8
0.1
0.0
0.0
4
3.2
1.4
0.3
0.0
0.0
0.0
5
1.0
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: AEK Athens FC goals. Columns: Xanthi FC goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.