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Saturday 20 October 2018, 19:00 Georgios Kamaras Stadium Full time
12% 29% 60%
Home win
11.5%
Draw
28.7%
Away win
59.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Apollon Smirnis 11.5% 8.69
Draw 28.7% 3.49
AEK Athens FC 59.8% 1.67

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 83.7% 1.19
Under 0.5 16.3% 6.13
Over 1.5 55.8% 1.79
Under 1.5 44.2% 2.26
Over 2.5 28.3% 3.53
Under 2.5 71.7% 1.39
Over 3.5 11.7% 8.54
Under 3.5 88.3% 1.13
Over 4.5 4.0% 24.86
Under 4.5 96.0% 1.04

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 28.2% 3.54
No 71.8% 1.39

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Apollon Smirnis / Draw 40.2% 2.49
Apollon Smirnis / AEK Athens FC 71.3% 1.40
Draw / AEK Athens FC 88.5% 1.13

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
16.3
21.3
15.2
7.1
2.5
0.7
1
6.6
10.6
7.0
3.2
1.1
0.3
2
1.6
2.3
1.6
0.7
0.3
0.1
3
0.3
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
4
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Apollon Smirnis goals. Columns: AEK Athens FC goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.