Skip to content
Σ SigmaGoal
ΕΛ EN
Sign in
Saturday 23 February 2019, 19:30 Spiros Louis Olympic Stadium Full time
AEK Athens FC
2–1
HT 1–1
Apollon Smirnis
82% 15% 3%
Home win
82.3%
Draw
14.7%
Away win
3.0%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC 82.3% 1.22 — —
Draw 14.7% 6.82 — —
Apollon Smirnis 3.0% 32.93 — —

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 91.3% 1.10 — —
Under 0.5 8.7% 11.51 — —
Over 1.5 71.1% 1.41 — —
Under 1.5 28.9% 3.46 — —
Over 2.5 45.1% 2.22 — —
Under 2.5 54.9% 1.82 — —
Over 3.5 23.8% 4.21 — —
Under 3.5 76.2% 1.31 — —
Over 4.5 10.6% 9.44 — —
Under 4.5 89.4% 1.12 — —

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 21.0% 4.75 — —
No 79.0% 1.27 — —

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC / Draw 97.0% 1.03 — —
AEK Athens FC / Apollon Smirnis 85.3% 1.17 — —
Draw / Apollon Smirnis 17.7% 5.65 — —

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
8.7
1.9
0.3
0.0
0.0
0.0
1
18.3
5.2
0.7
0.1
0.0
0.0
2
20.5
5.4
0.7
0.1
0.0
0.0
3
15.2
4.0
0.5
0.0
0.0
0.0
4
8.4
2.2
0.3
0.0
0.0
0.0
5
3.7
1.0
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: AEK Athens FC goals. Columns: Apollon Smirnis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

AEK Athens FC
W W D W L
Apollon Smirnis
L L L W L

Head to head

Feb 2022 AEK Athens FC 3-0 Apollon Smirnis Nov 2021 Apollon Smirnis 2-2 AEK Athens FC Mar 2021 AEK Athens FC 2-0 Apollon Smirnis Dec 2020 Apollon Smirnis 3-4 AEK Athens FC Oct 2018 Apollon Smirnis 0-2 AEK Athens FC May 2018 Apollon Smirnis 0-1 AEK Athens FC

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.