Sunday 3 February 2019, 16:00
Georgios Kamaras Stadium
Full time
26%
34%
40%
Home win
26.3%
Draw
33.7%
Away win
40.0%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apollon Smirnis | 26.3% | 3.80 | — | — |
| Draw | 33.7% | 2.96 | — | — |
| Asteras Tripolis | 40.0% | 2.50 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 83.2% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 16.8% | 5.95 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 55.5% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 44.5% | 2.25 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 27.8% | 3.60 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 72.2% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 11.4% | 8.78 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 88.6% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 3.9% | 25.78 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 96.1% | 1.04 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 36.1% | 2.77 | — | — |
| No | 63.9% | 1.57 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apollon Smirnis / Draw | 60.0% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Apollon Smirnis / Asteras Tripolis | 66.3% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Draw / Asteras Tripolis | 73.7% | 1.36 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
16.8
|
15.9
|
8.7
|
3.0
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 1 |
11.8
|
14.0
|
6.9
|
2.4
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
5.0
|
5.2
|
2.7
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
1.3
|
1.4
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2022
Asteras Tripolis
2-2
Apollon Smirnis
Jan 2022
Asteras Tripolis
1-0
Apollon Smirnis
Oct 2021
Apollon Smirnis
0-1
Asteras Tripolis
Jan 2021
Apollon Smirnis
0-1
Asteras Tripolis
Nov 2020
Asteras Tripolis
0-0
Apollon Smirnis
Sep 2018
Asteras Tripolis
2-0
Apollon Smirnis
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.