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Sunday 16 December 2018, 16:00 Georgios Kamaras Stadium Full time
25% 36% 38%
Home win
25.4%
Draw
36.2%
Away win
38.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Apollon Smirnis 25.4% 3.93
Draw 36.2% 2.76
Xanthi FC 38.4% 2.61

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 79.5% 1.26
Under 0.5 20.5% 4.89
Over 1.5 49.1% 2.04
Under 1.5 50.9% 1.96
Over 2.5 22.3% 4.48
Under 2.5 77.7% 1.29
Over 3.5 8.2% 12.15
Under 3.5 91.8% 1.09
Over 4.5 2.5% 39.86
Under 4.5 97.5% 1.03

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 31.1% 3.21
No 68.9% 1.45

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Apollon Smirnis / Draw 61.6% 1.62
Apollon Smirnis / Xanthi FC 63.8% 1.57
Draw / Xanthi FC 74.6% 1.34

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
20.5
17.5
8.4
2.6
0.6
0.1
1
13.0
13.5
5.9
1.8
0.4
0.1
2
4.8
4.5
2.1
0.6
0.1
0.0
3
1.1
1.0
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
4
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Apollon Smirnis goals. Columns: Xanthi FC goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.