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Sunday 25 February 2018, 15:00 Xanthi FC Arena (Pigadia) Full time
58% 28% 14%
Home win
58.4%
Draw
27.8%
Away win
13.9%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Xanthi FC 58.4% 1.71
Draw 27.8% 3.60
Apollon Smirnis 13.9% 7.22

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 86.4% 1.16
Under 0.5 13.6% 7.35
Over 1.5 61.2% 1.63
Under 1.5 38.8% 2.58
Over 2.5 33.5% 2.98
Under 2.5 66.5% 1.50
Over 3.5 15.1% 6.63
Under 3.5 84.9% 1.18
Over 4.5 5.7% 17.63
Under 4.5 94.3% 1.06

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 34.4% 2.91
No 65.6% 1.52

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Xanthi FC / Draw 86.1% 1.16
Xanthi FC / Apollon Smirnis 72.2% 1.38
Draw / Apollon Smirnis 41.6% 2.40

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
13.6
6.8
2.2
0.4
0.1
0.0
1
18.3
11.6
3.2
0.6
0.1
0.0
2
13.9
8.0
2.3
0.4
0.1
0.0
3
6.8
3.9
1.1
0.2
0.0
0.0
4
2.5
1.4
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.7
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Xanthi FC goals. Columns: Apollon Smirnis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.