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Sunday 21 January 2018, 15:00 Stadio Toumbas (Thessaloníki) Full time
77% 17% 6%
Home win
77.2%
Draw
16.8%
Away win
5.9%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAOK 77.2% 1.29
Draw 16.8% 5.95
Apollon Smirnis 5.9% 16.82

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.7% 1.08
Under 0.5 7.3% 13.79
Over 1.5 75.3% 1.33
Under 1.5 24.7% 4.04
Over 2.5 50.2% 1.99
Under 2.5 49.8% 2.01
Over 3.5 28.2% 3.54
Under 3.5 71.8% 1.39
Over 4.5 13.5% 7.42
Under 4.5 86.5% 1.16

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 33.7% 2.97
No 66.3% 1.51

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAOK / Draw 94.1% 1.06
PAOK / Apollon Smirnis 83.2% 1.20
Draw / Apollon Smirnis 22.8% 4.39

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.3
2.8
0.7
0.1
0.0
0.0
1
14.7
7.5
1.7
0.3
0.0
0.0
2
16.8
7.8
1.8
0.3
0.0
0.0
3
12.4
5.8
1.4
0.2
0.0
0.0
4
6.9
3.2
0.8
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
3.0
1.4
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: PAOK goals. Columns: Apollon Smirnis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.