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Sunday 7 October 2018, 18:15 Toumba Stadium Full time
82% 14% 4%
Home win
82.4%
Draw
14.0%
Away win
3.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAOK 82.4% 1.21
Draw 14.0% 7.15
Apollon Smirnis 3.6% 27.92

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.9% 1.08
Under 0.5 7.1% 14.12
Over 1.5 75.4% 1.33
Under 1.5 24.6% 4.06
Over 2.5 50.5% 1.98
Under 2.5 49.5% 2.02
Over 3.5 28.5% 3.51
Under 3.5 71.5% 1.40
Over 4.5 13.6% 7.34
Under 4.5 86.4% 1.16

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 26.4% 3.79
No 73.6% 1.36

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAOK / Draw 96.4% 1.04
PAOK / Apollon Smirnis 86.0% 1.16
Draw / Apollon Smirnis 17.6% 5.69

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.1
2.0
0.4
0.0
0.0
0.0
1
15.6
5.7
0.9
0.1
0.0
0.0
2
18.7
6.4
1.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
3
14.7
5.0
0.8
0.1
0.0
0.0
4
8.7
2.9
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
4.1
1.4
0.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: PAOK goals. Columns: Apollon Smirnis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.