Sunday 23 September 2018, 20:30
Toumba Stadium
Full time
42%
33%
25%
Home win
41.6%
Draw
33.5%
Away win
24.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PAOK | 41.6% | 2.40 | — | — |
| Draw | 33.5% | 2.99 | — | — |
| AEK Athens FC | 24.9% | 4.02 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 83.3% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 16.7% | 5.98 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 55.6% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 44.4% | 2.25 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 27.9% | 3.58 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 72.1% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 11.5% | 8.72 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 88.5% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 3.9% | 25.58 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 96.1% | 1.04 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 35.9% | 2.78 | — | — |
| No | 64.1% | 1.56 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PAOK / Draw | 75.1% | 1.33 | — | — |
| PAOK / AEK Athens FC | 66.5% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Draw / AEK Athens FC | 58.4% | 1.71 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
16.7
|
11.4
|
4.6
|
1.2
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
16.3
|
13.8
|
5.0
|
1.3
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
9.2
|
7.0
|
2.7
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
3.3
|
2.5
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.9
|
0.7
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
PAOK
1-1
AEK Athens FC
Apr 2026
AEK Athens FC
3-0
PAOK
Feb 2026
PAOK
0-0
AEK Athens FC
Oct 2025
AEK Athens FC
0-2
PAOK
May 2025
PAOK
1-0
AEK Athens FC
Mar 2025
AEK Athens FC
2-3
PAOK
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.