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Sunday 29 April 2018, 19:00 Stadio Kerkyras (Kerkyra (Corfu)) Full time
11% 25% 64%
Home win
11.0%
Draw
24.7%
Away win
64.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AOK Kerkyra 11.0% 9.06
Draw 24.7% 4.05
AEK Athens FC 64.3% 1.56

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 88.3% 1.13
Under 0.5 11.7% 8.54
Over 1.5 65.1% 1.54
Under 1.5 34.9% 2.86
Over 2.5 37.7% 2.66
Under 2.5 62.3% 1.60
Over 3.5 18.0% 5.55
Under 3.5 82.0% 1.22
Over 4.5 7.2% 13.85
Under 4.5 92.8% 1.08

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 34.3% 2.92
No 65.7% 1.52

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AOK Kerkyra / Draw 35.7% 2.80
AOK Kerkyra / AEK Athens FC 75.3% 1.33
Draw / AEK Athens FC 89.0% 1.12

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
11.7
17.8
15.3
8.5
3.5
1.2
1
5.4
10.5
8.2
4.6
1.9
0.6
2
1.6
2.7
2.2
1.2
0.5
0.2
3
0.3
0.5
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.0
4
0.0
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: AOK Kerkyra goals. Columns: AEK Athens FC goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.