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Monday 11 December 2017, 19:30 Spiros Louis Olympic Stadium Full time
80% 16% 5%
Home win
79.6%
Draw
15.7%
Away win
4.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC 79.6% 1.26
Draw 15.7% 6.38
AOK Kerkyra 4.7% 21.26

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.6% 1.08
Under 0.5 7.4% 13.46
Over 1.5 74.6% 1.34
Under 1.5 25.4% 3.94
Over 2.5 49.5% 2.02
Under 2.5 50.6% 1.98
Over 3.5 27.5% 3.63
Under 3.5 72.5% 1.38
Over 4.5 13.0% 7.69
Under 4.5 87.0% 1.15

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 29.7% 3.37
No 70.3% 1.42

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC / Draw 95.3% 1.05
AEK Athens FC / AOK Kerkyra 84.3% 1.19
Draw / AOK Kerkyra 20.4% 4.91

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.4
2.4
0.6
0.1
0.0
0.0
1
15.5
6.7
1.2
0.2
0.0
0.0
2
17.9
7.1
1.4
0.2
0.0
0.0
3
13.5
5.3
1.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
4
7.6
3.0
0.6
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
3.4
1.4
0.3
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: AEK Athens FC goals. Columns: AOK Kerkyra goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.