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Sunday 9 April 2017, 19:00 Spiros Louis Olympic Stadium Full time
73% 20% 8%
Home win
72.8%
Draw
19.6%
Away win
7.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC 72.8% 1.37
Draw 19.6% 5.09
AOK Kerkyra 7.6% 13.17

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 91.3% 1.10
Under 0.5 8.7% 11.44
Over 1.5 71.6% 1.40
Under 1.5 28.4% 3.53
Over 2.5 45.5% 2.20
Under 2.5 54.5% 1.83
Over 3.5 24.1% 4.15
Under 3.5 75.9% 1.32
Over 4.5 10.8% 9.25
Under 4.5 89.2% 1.12

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 34.2% 2.92
No 65.8% 1.52

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC / Draw 92.4% 1.08
AEK Athens FC / AOK Kerkyra 80.4% 1.24
Draw / AOK Kerkyra 27.2% 3.67

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
8.7
3.6
1.0
0.2
0.0
0.0
1
16.0
8.6
2.0
0.3
0.0
0.0
2
16.5
8.2
2.0
0.3
0.0
0.0
3
11.0
5.4
1.3
0.2
0.0
0.0
4
5.5
2.7
0.7
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
2.2
1.1
0.3
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: AEK Athens FC goals. Columns: AOK Kerkyra goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.