Skip to content
Sunday 2 April 2017, 19:30 Spiros Louis Olympic Stadium Full time
46% 30% 24%
Home win
46.0%
Draw
30.3%
Away win
23.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC 46.0% 2.17
Draw 30.3% 3.30
Panathinaikos 23.7% 4.22

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 87.3% 1.15
Under 0.5 12.7% 7.89
Over 1.5 63.6% 1.57
Under 1.5 36.4% 2.74
Over 2.5 35.8% 2.79
Under 2.5 64.2% 1.56
Over 3.5 16.7% 5.99
Under 3.5 83.3% 1.20
Over 4.5 6.5% 15.37
Under 4.5 93.5% 1.07

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 42.0% 2.38
No 58.0% 1.72

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC / Draw 76.3% 1.31
AEK Athens FC / Panathinaikos 69.7% 1.43
Draw / Panathinaikos 54.0% 1.85

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
12.7
9.3
4.2
1.2
0.3
0.0
1
14.5
13.7
5.4
1.5
0.3
0.1
2
9.8
8.3
3.5
1.0
0.2
0.0
3
4.2
3.6
1.5
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
1.4
1.1
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.3
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: AEK Athens FC goals. Columns: Panathinaikos goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.