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Sunday 19 March 2017, 19:30 Apostolos Nikolaidis Full time
35% 30% 35%
Home win
34.5%
Draw
30.3%
Away win
35.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panathinaikos 34.5% 2.89
Draw 30.3% 3.30
Olympiakos Piraeus 35.2% 2.84

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 88.7% 1.13
Under 0.5 11.3% 8.86
Over 1.5 66.7% 1.50
Under 1.5 33.3% 3.00
Over 2.5 39.2% 2.55
Under 2.5 60.8% 1.64
Over 3.5 19.2% 5.22
Under 3.5 80.8% 1.24
Over 4.5 7.9% 12.73
Under 4.5 92.1% 1.09

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 46.5% 2.15
No 53.5% 1.87

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panathinaikos / Draw 64.8% 1.54
Panathinaikos / Olympiakos Piraeus 69.7% 1.43
Draw / Olympiakos Piraeus 65.5% 1.53

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
11.3
11.1
6.7
2.5
0.7
0.2
1
11.0
14.1
7.6
2.9
0.8
0.2
2
6.6
7.5
4.2
1.6
0.5
0.1
3
2.5
2.8
1.6
0.6
0.2
0.0
4
0.7
0.8
0.4
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Panathinaikos goals. Columns: Olympiakos Piraeus goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.