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Sunday 12 February 2017, 19:30 Apostolos Nikolaidis Full time
68% 22% 11%
Home win
68.0%
Draw
21.5%
Away win
10.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panathinaikos 68.0% 1.47
Draw 21.5% 4.65
Panetolikos 10.5% 9.52

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 91.6% 1.09
Under 0.5 8.4% 11.86
Over 1.5 72.7% 1.38
Under 1.5 27.3% 3.66
Over 2.5 46.7% 2.14
Under 2.5 53.3% 1.88
Over 3.5 25.2% 3.98
Under 3.5 74.8% 1.34
Over 4.5 11.5% 8.73
Under 4.5 88.5% 1.13

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 39.9% 2.50
No 60.1% 1.66

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panathinaikos / Draw 89.5% 1.12
Panathinaikos / Panetolikos 78.5% 1.27
Draw / Panetolikos 32.0% 3.12

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
8.4
4.3
1.5
0.3
0.0
0.0
1
14.6
9.9
2.9
0.6
0.1
0.0
2
14.6
9.0
2.8
0.6
0.1
0.0
3
9.3
5.8
1.8
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
4.5
2.8
0.9
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
1.7
1.1
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Panathinaikos goals. Columns: Panetolikos goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.