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Sunday 15 January 2017, 19:30 Apostolos Nikolaidis Full time
51% 29% 20%
Home win
51.0%
Draw
28.8%
Away win
20.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panathinaikos 51.0% 1.96
Draw 28.8% 3.47
AEK Athens FC 20.1% 4.96

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 88.1% 1.13
Under 0.5 11.9% 8.42
Over 1.5 65.1% 1.54
Under 1.5 34.9% 2.87
Over 2.5 37.6% 2.66
Under 2.5 62.4% 1.60
Over 3.5 18.0% 5.57
Under 3.5 82.0% 1.22
Over 4.5 7.2% 13.91
Under 4.5 92.8% 1.08

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 41.8% 2.39
No 58.2% 1.72

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panathinaikos / Draw 79.9% 1.25
Panathinaikos / AEK Athens FC 71.2% 1.40
Draw / AEK Athens FC 49.0% 2.04

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
11.9
8.0
3.4
0.9
0.2
0.0
1
15.0
13.1
4.8
1.3
0.2
0.0
2
11.1
8.7
3.4
0.9
0.2
0.0
3
5.2
4.1
1.6
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
1.8
1.4
0.6
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.5
0.4
0.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Panathinaikos goals. Columns: AEK Athens FC goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.