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Sunday 4 December 2016, 19:30 Apostolos Nikolaidis Full time
1–0
HT 0–0
58% 24% 17%
Home win
58.3%
Draw
24.3%
Away win
17.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panathinaikos 58.3% 1.71
Draw 24.3% 4.12
PAOK 17.4% 5.74

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.4% 1.08
Under 0.5 7.6% 13.14
Over 1.5 75.2% 1.33
Under 1.5 24.8% 4.03
Over 2.5 49.8% 2.01
Under 2.5 50.2% 1.99
Over 3.5 27.8% 3.59
Under 3.5 72.2% 1.39
Over 4.5 13.2% 7.57
Under 4.5 86.8% 1.15

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 49.3% 2.03
No 50.7% 1.97

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panathinaikos / Draw 82.6% 1.21
Panathinaikos / PAOK 75.7% 1.32
Draw / PAOK 41.7% 2.40

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.6
5.4
2.7
0.8
0.2
0.0
1
11.8
11.6
4.8
1.4
0.3
0.1
2
11.1
9.8
4.3
1.2
0.3
0.0
3
6.6
5.8
2.6
0.7
0.2
0.0
4
3.0
2.6
1.1
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
1.1
0.9
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Panathinaikos goals. Columns: PAOK goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.