Sunday 30 October 2016, 15:00
Apostolos Nikolaidis
Full time
70%
21%
9%
Home win
70.1%
Draw
21.0%
Away win
8.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Panathinaikos | 70.1% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Draw | 21.0% | 4.77 | — | — |
| Iraklis | 8.9% | 11.23 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91.0% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 9.0% | 11.05 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 71.0% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 29.0% | 3.45 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 44.7% | 2.24 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 55.3% | 1.81 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 23.5% | 4.26 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 76.6% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 10.4% | 9.62 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 89.6% | 1.12 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 36.0% | 2.77 | — | — |
| No | 64.0% | 1.56 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Panathinaikos / Draw | 91.1% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Panathinaikos / Iraklis | 79.0% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Draw / Iraklis | 29.9% | 3.35 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
9.0
|
4.0
|
1.2
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
15.9
|
9.3
|
2.4
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
15.8
|
8.5
|
2.3
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
10.1
|
5.4
|
1.5
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
4.9
|
2.6
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.9
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2017
Iraklis
1-1
Panathinaikos
Mar 2016
Panathinaikos
4-0
Iraklis
Nov 2015
Iraklis
1-0
Panathinaikos
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.