Sunday 2 October 2016, 18:15
Apostolos Nikolaidis
Full time
66%
23%
12%
Home win
65.6%
Draw
22.7%
Away win
11.7%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Panathinaikos | 65.6% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Draw | 22.7% | 4.41 | — | — |
| Asteras Tripolis | 11.7% | 8.56 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91.1% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 8.9% | 11.25 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 71.6% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 28.4% | 3.53 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 45.4% | 2.20 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 54.6% | 1.83 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 24.0% | 4.16 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 76.0% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 10.7% | 9.31 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 89.3% | 1.12 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 40.6% | 2.47 | — | — |
| No | 59.5% | 1.68 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Panathinaikos / Draw | 88.3% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Panathinaikos / Asteras Tripolis | 77.3% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Draw / Asteras Tripolis | 34.4% | 2.91 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
8.9
|
4.7
|
1.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
14.7
|
10.4
|
3.2
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
14.1
|
9.1
|
2.9
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
8.7
|
5.6
|
1.8
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
4.0
|
2.6
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.5
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2026
Asteras Tripolis
1-2
Panathinaikos
Oct 2025
Panathinaikos
2-0
Asteras Tripolis
Dec 2024
Asteras Tripolis
0-1
Panathinaikos
Aug 2024
Panathinaikos
0-1
Asteras Tripolis
Jan 2024
Panathinaikos
2-0
Asteras Tripolis
Sep 2023
Asteras Tripolis
1-4
Panathinaikos
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.