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Sunday 25 September 2016, 18:15 Peristeri Stadium Full time
45% 32% 23%
Home win
45.2%
Draw
32.1%
Away win
22.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Atromitos 45.2% 2.21
Draw 32.1% 3.12
Asteras Tripolis 22.8% 4.39

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 84.7% 1.18
Under 0.5 15.3% 6.53
Over 1.5 58.2% 1.72
Under 1.5 41.8% 2.39
Over 2.5 30.4% 3.29
Under 2.5 69.6% 1.44
Over 3.5 13.0% 7.68
Under 3.5 87.0% 1.15
Over 4.5 4.6% 21.52
Under 4.5 95.4% 1.05

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 37.3% 2.68
No 62.7% 1.60

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Atromitos / Draw 77.2% 1.29
Atromitos / Asteras Tripolis 67.9% 1.47
Draw / Asteras Tripolis 54.8% 1.82

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
15.3
10.2
4.1
1.0
0.2
0.0
1
16.3
13.6
4.8
1.2
0.2
0.0
2
10.1
7.6
2.8
0.7
0.1
0.0
3
3.9
3.0
1.1
0.3
0.1
0.0
4
1.2
0.9
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Atromitos goals. Columns: Asteras Tripolis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.