Sunday 3 April 2016, 19:00
Kaftanzoglio Stadio
Full time
35%
34%
31%
Home win
34.7%
Draw
34.0%
Away win
31.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iraklis | 34.7% | 2.88 | — | — |
| Draw | 34.0% | 2.94 | — | — |
| Asteras Tripolis | 31.3% | 3.20 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 83.3% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 16.7% | 5.99 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 55.7% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 44.3% | 2.26 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 28.0% | 3.57 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 72.0% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 11.5% | 8.69 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 88.5% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 3.9% | 25.43 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 96.1% | 1.04 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 36.9% | 2.71 | — | — |
| No | 63.1% | 1.59 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iraklis / Draw | 68.7% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Iraklis / Asteras Tripolis | 66.0% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Draw / Asteras Tripolis | 65.3% | 1.53 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
16.7
|
13.3
|
6.3
|
1.9
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
14.3
|
14.2
|
6.0
|
1.8
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
7.2
|
6.4
|
2.8
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
2.3
|
2.0
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.5
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2017
Asteras Tripolis
2-2
Iraklis
Dec 2016
Iraklis
1-1
Asteras Tripolis
Dec 2015
Asteras Tripolis
1-2
Iraklis
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.