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Saturday 20 February 2016, 17:15 Stadio Theodoros Kolokotronis Full time
55% 27% 18%
Home win
55.2%
Draw
26.7%
Away win
18.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Asteras Tripolis 55.2% 1.81
Draw 26.7% 3.75
PAS Giannina 18.1% 5.52

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 89.9% 1.11
Under 0.5 10.1% 9.94
Over 1.5 69.2% 1.45
Under 1.5 30.8% 3.24
Over 2.5 42.2% 2.37
Under 2.5 57.8% 1.73
Over 3.5 21.5% 4.65
Under 3.5 78.5% 1.27
Over 4.5 9.2% 10.86
Under 4.5 90.8% 1.10

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 44.2% 2.26
No 55.8% 1.79

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Asteras Tripolis / Draw 81.9% 1.22
Asteras Tripolis / PAS Giannina 73.3% 1.36
Draw / PAS Giannina 44.8% 2.23

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
10.1
6.7
2.9
0.8
0.2
0.0
1
14.0
12.4
4.6
1.2
0.2
0.0
2
11.6
9.2
3.7
1.0
0.2
0.0
3
6.1
4.8
1.9
0.5
0.1
0.0
4
2.4
1.9
0.8
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
0.8
0.6
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Asteras Tripolis goals. Columns: PAS Giannina goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.